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Old 10-27-2008, 09:21 PM   #1 (permalink)
Ichabod
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spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
I'm offering 100 to 1 payment to anyone winning the following bet. Please add your name to the list and the State you're betting on and the reason you think you're calling it right. You risk $100 casino dollars if you lose and you gain $10,000 casino dollars if you win. Please press Reply, not Quote, to make the thread readable. By all means make a discussion of it.

You win if you successfully predict that Senator Obama will win the Electoral Votes in your choice of

Alaska
Alabama
Arizona
Arkansas
Florida
Georgia
Idaho
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Carolina
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
West Virginia
Wyoming
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Old 10-27-2008, 11:01 PM   #2 (permalink)
of couse I'm a woman.
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Re: spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
why is Illinois not on the list when voting for Obama?

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Old 10-27-2008, 11:09 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Re: spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
Quote:
Originally Posted by Odie View Post
why is Illinois not on the list when voting for Obama?
I think it's quite likely that Illinois will give its Electoral College votes to Senator Obama.

Because I think that's so likely, I'm prepared to offer odds of 100 to 1 against Senator McCain getting those votes, but that bet's on the other list.
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Old 10-27-2008, 11:15 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Re: spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
but I am voting Obama wins, so which thread do I vote on then?

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Old 10-27-2008, 11:22 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Re: spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
Quote:
Originally Posted by Odie View Post
but I am voting Obama wins, so which thread do I vote on then?
This isn't a voting thread, it's a betting thread. I'm taking bets on which candidate will win which state.
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Old 10-27-2008, 11:24 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Re: spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
Quote:
Originally Posted by spot View Post
This isn't a voting thread, it's a betting thread. I'm taking bets on which candidate will win which state.
thats what I meant, but Obama to me, will win the state of Illonis.

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Old 10-27-2008, 11:26 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Re: spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
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thats what I meant, but Obama to me, will win the state of Illonis.
Then we both think the same thing. What should the bet between us be?
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Old 10-27-2008, 11:30 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Re: spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
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Originally Posted by spot View Post
Then we both think the same thing. What should the bet between us be?
how is 200.00?

agree or disagree, up to you to!

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Old 10-27-2008, 11:44 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Re: spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
Quote:
Originally Posted by Odie View Post
how is 200.00?

agree or disagree, up to you to!
But we both agree it's very likely that Senator Obama will win Illinois. He already has a history of winning it as a Senator.

I'm so confident that Senator Obama will win Illinois that I'm already offering to pay out 10,000 casino dollars if he loses there, to anyone who will pay me 100 casino dollars if I'm right and he wins Illinois.

I'll offer you a special bet if you like - I'll pay you 100,000 casino dollars if Senator Obama wins Texas, if you'll pay me 100 casino dollars if he loses Texas. That's odds of a thousand to one which is overconfidence in a bookmaker on something so uncertain as a landslide election.
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Old 10-27-2008, 11:49 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Re: spot the bookmaker's 100 to 1 Republican wins
Quote:
Originally Posted by spot View Post
But we both agree it's very likely that Senator Obama will win Illinois. He already has a history of winning it as a Senator.

I'm so confident that Senator Obama will win Illinois that I'm already offering to pay out 10,000 casino dollars if he loses there, to anyone who will pay me 100 casino dollars if I'm right and he wins Illinois.

I'll offer you a special bet if you like - I'll pay you 100,000 casino dollars if Senator Obama wins Texas, if you'll pay me 100 casino dollars if he loses Texas. That's odds of a thousand to one which is overconfidence in a bookmaker on something so uncertain as a landslide election.
see I have no idea how he did in Texas, I was beting he would win in Illinois because that's his second home.

thing is to, if we are betting together for Obama in Illionis to win, ours is a win win situation right?

will have to study up some more

off to bed, we shall continue tomorrow.

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