Friday 13th March Oscar's tip to beat the crunch
Posted: Thu Feb 19, 2009 9:36 am
I have been banging on about this for some weeks now but what a fantastic date in the racing calender to see the two rivals 'Denman' and 'Kauto Star' come head to head again? And what a way to beat the credit crunch blues?
If you don't want to give the bookies your money then perhaps Sir Spot would like to offer up some casino dollers in what the racing press has described as 'The mother of all re-matches' this year in The Cheltenham Gold Cup on Friday 13th.
'Denman' is out to keep last years cup and 'Kauto Star' is out for revenge. The bookies and racing press give this race to no other horse in the race barr these two but there is one or two horses that could be a danger to both.
'Denman' has been the bookies favourite to win but after reports of a heart murmer, 'Kauto Star' has been backed heavilly into favourite at todays price of:
6/4 Kauto seeing Denamn pushed out to 100/30.
My own personal advice for anyone betting on this race now would be:
Given the short odds for both horses.....wait until the day and do not bet anti-post now.
The prices will fluctuate on the day on the course taking into account the fitness of the horses on the day and the going.
'Kauto Star' needs the going to be firm to hard. If it's hard on the day in his favour, the odds could be reduced further. Other, if the going is soft, 'Denman's odds could be shortened.
On the day, other runners depending on their fitness will also get backed down. It is the course bookmakers who determine the odds in your high street betting office.
If you can't decide between the two, put a bet on a 'reveresed fore-cast' at your bookies. It's double the stake money but means either horse can come in Ist or 2nd for you to get a payout.
With Oscar's tip for 3rd horse, you can place a 'Triple fore-cast' by naming 'Denman', 'Kauto' and the 3rd horse. This will get you a larger payout if the 3 horses come in 1st, 2nd and 3rd in any order.
You can also bet on the 3rd horse who will be greater odds for an 'each-way' bet. This means he only needs to be placed for you to win some money but remember that if he doesn't win, you will get one quarter of the odds.
The horse i believe could be the only threat to the two favourites ran at Cheltenham last year and from what i saw, is a fine jumper and a likely third for this years race.
THE RUNNERS
511-225 AIR FORCE ONE (GER) 7 Brian Walsh (Co Kildare) Charlie Mann
113-4P23 ALBERTAS RUN (IRE) 8 Trevor Hemmings Jonjo O'Neill
3/00010- ARTEEA (IRE) 10 Judith & Tina Wilson David Pipe
4121-21 BARBERS SHOP 7 The Queen Nicky Henderson
1301-U11 BIG BUCK'S (FR) 6 The Stewart Family Paul Nicholls
0P/50PP- CERIUM (FR) 8 Judith & Tina Wilson Paul Murphy
11/1111-2 DENMAN (IRE) 9 Maggie Findlay & Paul Barber Paul Nicholls
353-231 EXOTIC DANCER (FR) 9 Sir Robert Ogden Jonjo O'Neill
3242-232 HALCON GENELARDAIS (FR) 9 Ian Payne & Kim Franklin Alan King
3/114-16 IMPERIAL COMMANDER (IRE) 8 Our Friends in the North Nigel Twiston-Davies
122-1U1 KAUTO STAR (FR) 9 Clive Smith Paul Nicholls
16UP-10 KNOWHERE (IRE) 11 Raymond Mould Nigel Twiston-Davies
425F-611 MADISON DU BERLAIS (FR) 8 Roger Stanley & Yvonne Reynolds II David Pipe
112P-0UU MIKO DE BEAUCHENE (FR) 9 Andrew Wiles Robert & Sally Alner
05/5400-P MILAN DEUX MILLE (FR) 7 Judith Wilson David Pipe
32023/-5 MY WILL (FR) 9 The Stewart Family Paul Nicholls
1/3131-F NEPTUNE COLLONGES (FR) 8 John Hales Paul Nicholls
63P-411 NOTRE PERE (FR) 8 Tillie Conway Jim Dreaper IRE
2112/-U1P NOZIC (FR) 8 Sam Mcvie Paul Nicholls
3/2211-P OUR VIC (IRE) 11 David Johnson David Pipe
1225-13P ROLL ALONG (IRE) 9 Bryan & Philippa Burrough Carl Llewellyn
331320P SNOOPY LOOPY (IRE) 11 Walters Plant Hire Ltd Egan Waste Ltd Peter Bowen
332-56F SNOWY MORNING (IRE) 9 Quayside Syndicate Willie Mullins IRE
1/11/3-024 STAR DE MOHAISON (FR) 8 Sir Robert Ogden Paul Nicholls
2560-14 STATE OF PLAY 9 Mr & Mrs William Rucker Evan Williams
315-42F THE LISTENER (IRE) 10 Old Moss Farm Nick Mitchell
4142-132 THYNE AGAIN (IRE) 8 Simply The Best Syndicate Liam Burke IRE
23/-1132 WAR OF ATTRITION (IRE) 10 Gigginstown House Stud Mouse Morris IRE
The numbers at the side of the horse are his placings in his last races with most recent on the inner.
To me, the racing pundits and the bookies, this is a two-horse race between 'Denman' and 'Kauto'. Even with 'Denman's' recent scare, i still belive he can only be out-classed by one horse.
The horse i believe could be a possible danger to the two is........................ EXOTIC DANCER. God Forbid that 'Kauto' makes another horrendous blunder on the last fence or either 'Denman' or 'Kauto' fall or be brought down, Exotic Dancer is in fine form to take the Gold Cup.
For the 4th place i reccomend WAR OF ATTRITION.
I have seen Exotic dancer and War of Attrition run myself and and believe they are the best 'stayers' on the gruelling distance.
Do NOT back KNOWHERE. I backed him at Cheltenham last year and he came NO-WHERE :wah:
OVER TO SPOT FOR SOME CASINO DOLLARS ODDS NOW
COME ON KAUTO STAR..... WE WANT REVENGE ON DENMAN
If you don't want to give the bookies your money then perhaps Sir Spot would like to offer up some casino dollers in what the racing press has described as 'The mother of all re-matches' this year in The Cheltenham Gold Cup on Friday 13th.
'Denman' is out to keep last years cup and 'Kauto Star' is out for revenge. The bookies and racing press give this race to no other horse in the race barr these two but there is one or two horses that could be a danger to both.
'Denman' has been the bookies favourite to win but after reports of a heart murmer, 'Kauto Star' has been backed heavilly into favourite at todays price of:
6/4 Kauto seeing Denamn pushed out to 100/30.
My own personal advice for anyone betting on this race now would be:
Given the short odds for both horses.....wait until the day and do not bet anti-post now.
The prices will fluctuate on the day on the course taking into account the fitness of the horses on the day and the going.
'Kauto Star' needs the going to be firm to hard. If it's hard on the day in his favour, the odds could be reduced further. Other, if the going is soft, 'Denman's odds could be shortened.
On the day, other runners depending on their fitness will also get backed down. It is the course bookmakers who determine the odds in your high street betting office.
If you can't decide between the two, put a bet on a 'reveresed fore-cast' at your bookies. It's double the stake money but means either horse can come in Ist or 2nd for you to get a payout.
With Oscar's tip for 3rd horse, you can place a 'Triple fore-cast' by naming 'Denman', 'Kauto' and the 3rd horse. This will get you a larger payout if the 3 horses come in 1st, 2nd and 3rd in any order.
You can also bet on the 3rd horse who will be greater odds for an 'each-way' bet. This means he only needs to be placed for you to win some money but remember that if he doesn't win, you will get one quarter of the odds.
The horse i believe could be the only threat to the two favourites ran at Cheltenham last year and from what i saw, is a fine jumper and a likely third for this years race.
THE RUNNERS
511-225 AIR FORCE ONE (GER) 7 Brian Walsh (Co Kildare) Charlie Mann
113-4P23 ALBERTAS RUN (IRE) 8 Trevor Hemmings Jonjo O'Neill
3/00010- ARTEEA (IRE) 10 Judith & Tina Wilson David Pipe
4121-21 BARBERS SHOP 7 The Queen Nicky Henderson
1301-U11 BIG BUCK'S (FR) 6 The Stewart Family Paul Nicholls
0P/50PP- CERIUM (FR) 8 Judith & Tina Wilson Paul Murphy
11/1111-2 DENMAN (IRE) 9 Maggie Findlay & Paul Barber Paul Nicholls
353-231 EXOTIC DANCER (FR) 9 Sir Robert Ogden Jonjo O'Neill
3242-232 HALCON GENELARDAIS (FR) 9 Ian Payne & Kim Franklin Alan King
3/114-16 IMPERIAL COMMANDER (IRE) 8 Our Friends in the North Nigel Twiston-Davies
122-1U1 KAUTO STAR (FR) 9 Clive Smith Paul Nicholls
16UP-10 KNOWHERE (IRE) 11 Raymond Mould Nigel Twiston-Davies
425F-611 MADISON DU BERLAIS (FR) 8 Roger Stanley & Yvonne Reynolds II David Pipe
112P-0UU MIKO DE BEAUCHENE (FR) 9 Andrew Wiles Robert & Sally Alner
05/5400-P MILAN DEUX MILLE (FR) 7 Judith Wilson David Pipe
32023/-5 MY WILL (FR) 9 The Stewart Family Paul Nicholls
1/3131-F NEPTUNE COLLONGES (FR) 8 John Hales Paul Nicholls
63P-411 NOTRE PERE (FR) 8 Tillie Conway Jim Dreaper IRE
2112/-U1P NOZIC (FR) 8 Sam Mcvie Paul Nicholls
3/2211-P OUR VIC (IRE) 11 David Johnson David Pipe
1225-13P ROLL ALONG (IRE) 9 Bryan & Philippa Burrough Carl Llewellyn
331320P SNOOPY LOOPY (IRE) 11 Walters Plant Hire Ltd Egan Waste Ltd Peter Bowen
332-56F SNOWY MORNING (IRE) 9 Quayside Syndicate Willie Mullins IRE
1/11/3-024 STAR DE MOHAISON (FR) 8 Sir Robert Ogden Paul Nicholls
2560-14 STATE OF PLAY 9 Mr & Mrs William Rucker Evan Williams
315-42F THE LISTENER (IRE) 10 Old Moss Farm Nick Mitchell
4142-132 THYNE AGAIN (IRE) 8 Simply The Best Syndicate Liam Burke IRE
23/-1132 WAR OF ATTRITION (IRE) 10 Gigginstown House Stud Mouse Morris IRE
The numbers at the side of the horse are his placings in his last races with most recent on the inner.
To me, the racing pundits and the bookies, this is a two-horse race between 'Denman' and 'Kauto'. Even with 'Denman's' recent scare, i still belive he can only be out-classed by one horse.
The horse i believe could be a possible danger to the two is........................ EXOTIC DANCER. God Forbid that 'Kauto' makes another horrendous blunder on the last fence or either 'Denman' or 'Kauto' fall or be brought down, Exotic Dancer is in fine form to take the Gold Cup.
For the 4th place i reccomend WAR OF ATTRITION.
I have seen Exotic dancer and War of Attrition run myself and and believe they are the best 'stayers' on the gruelling distance.
Do NOT back KNOWHERE. I backed him at Cheltenham last year and he came NO-WHERE :wah:
OVER TO SPOT FOR SOME CASINO DOLLARS ODDS NOW
COME ON KAUTO STAR..... WE WANT REVENGE ON DENMAN